Nice prognostication week for me; I went 12-2 with my game predictions.
This brings my 2012 record to 83-46…climbing back close to 2-to-1 despite a couple of horrible weeks (aka week 3, ugh!).
Kansas City at San Diego: The worst AFC team on the road? Didn’t matter who the Chiefs played, I had ‘em losing by 14. They lost by 18 and I start the week 1-0 woot!
Denver at Cincinnati: The Broncos seem to be getting stronger each week as everyone is learning to play with Peyton’s adjustments at the line of scrimmage. Miller and Dumervil should pressure Dalton enough to keep the offense off balance. Playing in Cincy gives the Bengals a fighting chance but the Broncos are going to be too much to handle.
Denver 27, Cincinnati 16 – 11 pts
Final: Denver 31, Cincinnati 23 – WIN (8 pts)
Baltimore at Cleveland: The Browns have won 2 of their last 3 while the Ravens were destroyed by the Texans in their last contest. I don’t think the Browns have the firepower to outscore Baltimore, but should be able to grind Trent Richardson through the 28th-ranked Ravens defense. This game should be closer than a lot of people may think.
Baltimore 28, Cleveland 21 – 7 pts
Final: Baltimore 25, Cleveland 15 – WIN (10 pts)
Arizona at Green Bay: The Cards’ defense is good while the line is horrible. The Packers are tied with the Cards in sacks with 26. The Cardinals have given up 39 sacks – by far the most in the NFL. Who’s second? The Packers, with 28 allowed. Both teams have woes on the offensive line. The difference? The Packers have AR-12, the Cards have John Skelton.
Green Bay 34, Arizona 13 – 21 pts
Green Bay 31, Arizona 17 – WIN (14 pts)
Buffalo at Houston: Buffalo’s mega-expen$ive defensive upgrades so far have vaulted them to the BOTTOM-3 in the NFL in defense. Houston’s at home. What don’t you understand?
Houston 38, Buffalo 20 – 18 pts
Final: Houston 21, Buffalo 9 – WIN (12 pts)
Miami at Indianapolis: This is rather quietly one of the top games of the week to watch, matching up two rookie QBs in Andrew Luck and Ryan Tannehill. This is the first time in NFL history 2 teams with rookie QBs face off so late in the season while both teams have winning records (4-3). The winner of this game gets a leg up in the tiebreaker as both teams would be in line for a Wild Card playoff spot where they’re currently positioned. Luck’s had marginally better output than Tannehill, but the Dolphins have some things the Colts don’t. Like a defense. The word is that Tannehill starts despite a swollen knee, and Andrew Luck faces a third-down defense that allows opponents a first down on third down less than 25% of the time!
Miami 27, Indianapolis 19 – 8 pts
Final: Indianapolis 23, Miami 20 – LOSS (3 pts)
Detroit at Jacksonville: The Jaguars have won a single game. Not surprising at all. Detroit’s red zone defense is #1 in the NFL, so any scoring the Jags do will probably have to come from big plays, which they don’t generate. Okay, another day at the office for a hapless team.
Detroit 30, Jacksonville 12 – 18 pts
Final: Detroit 31, Jacksonville 14 – WIN (17 pts)
Chicago at Tennessee: The Titans’ offense acts like a big, cold truck trying to start. It’s very rough going, but once it gets started it could really be powerful with names like Chris Johnson, Kenny Britt, and rookie Kendall Wright. I think DAAA BEARSSSSS cut the jumper cables this week, however.
Chicago 27, Tennessee 13 – 14 pts
Final: Chicago 51, Tennessee 20 – WIN (31 pts)
Carolina at Washington: RG3′s getting all the love less than a half-season into his young career. Cam’s being written off less than a year and a half into his. Cam’s team actually has some defense while RG3′s does not. Expect to see the ‘skins win the turnover battle but the Panthers to win the game due to the ‘skins’ porous D.
Carolina 28, Washington 27 – 1 pt
Final: Carolina 21, Washington 13 – WIN (8 pts)
Tampa Bay at Oakland: This should be about the right game for Greg Schiano to test his young team against. Oakland is rising after a slow start but still had a lot of issues.
Tampa Bay 23, Oakland 21 – 2 pts
Final: Tampa Bay 42, Oakland 32 – WIN (10 pts)
Minnesota at Seattle: Both teams are coming back to earth a bit after good starts, but Seattle seems to be playing better ball overall right now. Minnesota has both won and lost ugly in some of their games. Rookie LT Matt Kalil and the rest of the line will really be tested, as will Seattle’s defense facing Adrian Peterson. I think the ‘hawks at home are very tough – so tough that I had forecast them to beat New England before they went out and did it.
Seattle 21, Minnesota 13 – 8 pts
Final: Seattle 30, Minnesota 20 – WIN (10 pts)
Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Giants: This is the “Game of the Week” overall. Pittsburgh is finding ways to stop people without Polamalu and the Giants are finding wins in magician Eli Manning’s shirt sleeves. The Giants have the luxury of a home game in storm-ravaged New Jersey, so they’ll come out feeling angry with something to prove. The Steelers are really in for a big fight today.
New York Giants 26, Pittsburgh 24 – 2 pts
Final: Pittsburgh 24, New York Giants 20 – LOSS (4 pts)
Dallas at Atlanta: Tony Romo is going to have to show me he can take care of the ball before I get too high on this team. Dez Bryant isn’t returning punts now, and needs to learn to focus…and to watch where he puts his hands after catching a pass near the endline. DeMarco Murray is still out with a foot injury and Jason Witten would seem to be the team’s only consistent threat. The Falcons haven’t lost a game yet, are playing at home, and have their team laser-focused.
Atlanta 27, Dallas 17 – 10 pts
Final: Atlanta 19, Dallas 13 – WIN (6 pts)
Philadelphia at New Orleans: Vick’s turnover troubles continue while the Saints find ways to lose despite Drew Brees’ high-powered offense. Their defense is low-powered. Solar-powered…made by Solyndra. Very much like grape-flavored drink: no JUICE! That said, I think the Eagles’ new defensive coordinator will have his hands full. Maybe a bit TOO full.
New Orleans 38, Philadelphia 34 – 4 pts
Final: New Orleans 28, Philadelphia 13 – WIN (15 pts)
Packers over Cardinals – win
Texans over Bills – win
Lions over Jaguars – win
Bears over Titans – win
Falcons over Cowboys – win
Ravens over Browns (more ‘ify” than you think) – win
used those guys already? Try one of these:
Dolphins over Colts – loss
Seahawks over Vikings – win
Bucs over Raiders – win
8 of 9 Eliminator games correct this week!
…you should’ve picked the Chargers this week!
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